بعد اختراق ناجح اليوم لمؤشر دبي لخط ترند فرعي عند 5790 ، هل يتمكن المؤشر من اختراق نطاق المقاومة القوي 5875 – 5883 في جلسة الغد ؟ حيث يوجد ترند هابط من قمم 6320 و 5990 و قمة سابقة وتراجع 61.8 فيبوناتشي للموجه الهابطة الأخيرة من 5990 – 5714 ..
المؤشرات الفنية تقول بأننا في مناطق ارتداد ، والتقارب ملحوظ بين المتوسطات الأسية 10 و 20 و 50 للمؤشر و لكثير من الأسهم مما يوحي بقرب حركة قوية في السوق وان شاء الله للأعلى ..
اذا تم الاختراق فعندها لنا كلام آخر 
تسلم وتسلم يمينك على الكلام الطيب
اخواني الكرام كام قلت لكم اقرأوا المقالين في المشاركتين 26 و28 بتمعن شديد وهدوء وتأني
وسوف تظهر لكم الصورة بشكل اوضح وحاولوا ربط الاحداث ببعضها البعض
فالمسألة ليست مجرد تحليل فني وشارتات فقط
او تحليل اساسي واداء شركات فقط ايضا
الموضوع يا ساده ان رؤوس الاموال تبحث دوما عن افضل قنوات الاستثمار وهي حتي اللحظة تتواجد في المعادن واليورو دولار ولا زال للعقار بقية ايضا
فلا تتصوروا ان يرتفع سوق الاسهم في الفترة الحالية
كما انه لن يهبط كثيرا ايضا وذلك بدعم من المحافظ والبقية الباقية حتي لا نفقد الثقة تماما بل من المهم ان يبقي الوضع في حالة حيرة لحين اشعار اخر
السوق مثل غابة فيها وحوش الي يسلم هو الناجي
اخى qwazimodoo فى اغلب الاحيان مواضيعك جذابه وهنالك ربط موثوق منه ربط الدولار والذهب والنفط والعقار ببعض , وما يقلقنى استمرار نمو العقار مما له اثر سلبى على الاسهم واتوقع عند تراجع العقار اوبطئه تبدا الدفعه الجديده للاسهم والعلاقه بينهما عكسيه .
واليكم يا سادة هذا المقال الثاني والرائع جدا عن الفضة وهو منقول ايضا :-
ويحتاج الي قراءة متأنية فهو رائع بحق
About a week ago in the last Silver Market update we called a SHORT-TERM top in gold and silver, and we got one. As you may recall the timeframe for the reaction was until about the 17th. Although we have seen a reaction it has thus far been modest, and now, after the extraordinary action and events of the past couple of days, it MAY be over. In any event, with the time window for the reaction soon to close, and downside now considered to be limited, the risk is thought to be that of missing out on the next upleg, which promises to be even bigger than the last one.
The reason that downside is now thought to be limited is that in addition to the RSI easing from its critically overbought readings of a week or so ago, a large parabolic bowl has been identified that is now rising at a rapid rate and is not far beneath the current price. This bowl pattern can be viewed as a kind of geometric ‘force field’ that is shepherding the price ever higher in an accelerating uptrend that has the capacity to get a lot steeper yet. It is true that the MACD indicator shown at the bottom of the chart is still at an uncomfortably high level – so we may see some further consolidation around current levels for a week or so to allow this to unwind, and which would also allow the bowl support line to catch up with the price and project it higher.
With the parabolic bowl promising to drive the price much higher in an accelerating arc, and downside to the bowl boundary now so limited, it makes sense to avoid the risk of missing the boat, and to position oneself for a renewed advance by silver.
On long-term charts it is clear that silver is still substantially overbought and normally we would conclude that an intermediate top is probably forming. However, these ARE NOT normal times – the global financial system is buckling and careening out of control. Recent actions by the Fed are the product of acute desperation and are exercises in procrastination only.
Todd Benjamin, one of the very few TV commentators worth listening to, summed it up yesterday on CNN when he said that while the Fed’s recent actions could be viewed as a sign of resolve and a determination to ‘do what is necessary’ to defuse the crisis, they are also reaching ‘deeper into their bag of tricks’ and getting ever closer to exhausting their options, and their actions are having less and less of a lasting effect. Thus, even though silver is substantially overbought on an intermediate term basis, it is very possible that it could accelerate soon into a spectacular vertical spike, especially if those heavily short throw in the towel. Bob Moriarty’s recent comment that $20 silver would ‘suck silver out of the ground’ may be true, but it?s irrelevant, because speculators are governed not by real value but by momentum and by collective market psychology.
The way to play this market is clear from our dome pattern. Go long and stay long while the price remains above the dome in the reasonable expectation of an accelerating uptrend that could well develop into a spectacular runaway spike. Exit/reverse positions if the dome is broken, as this would probably trigger a panic sell off. This strategy affords an excellent risk/reward ratio.
راي شخصي :- اتصور ان الفضة علي المدي المتوسط متجه الي 30 دولار والذهب الي 1100الي 1200 دولار
وعندها قد تبدأ الاموال الذكية بالنظر مرة اخري الي اسواق الاسهم بعد ان يكونوا قد انتهوا من الترند الصاعد الراءع جدا والثابت لكل من المعادن واليورو دولار
وربما يكون ذلك في النصف الثاني من 2008 وهو ما يتفق مع رؤية اعمار 2009 غير
تحياتي